Bitcoin

[image] Bitcoin's 3M MVRV momentum just flipped back positive (+7.3%) after sitting below zero all summer. 18 prior flips since 2012. Median return after, applied to today's $84.4K: 1M: +14% → ~$96.6K 3M: +14% → ~$96.6K 6M: +46% → ~$123K 1Y: +111% → ~$178K Any day at +5–10%

[image] I track $BTC this way

[image] $BTC For BTC, we’re now in a phase where it should be looked at on the monthly timeframe. Daily and weekly changes are insignificant. What matters is where it wants to build the bottom consolidation. This area: the 65K–62K zone is suitable for that. One level below, there is the

[image] bitcoin:native is about to form a golden cross! 🟡

[image] bitcoin:native Alan’s indicator has an incredible correlation with BTC. The black circles mark the exits at the tops, while the blue circles mark the first dark blue candles at the bottoms and the reversal candles from the absolute lows. It even caught the negative divergence in

[text] You TOTALLY don’t need Bitcoin because the government would NEVER debase the currency, freeze accounts, expand surveillance, weaponize banks, monetize debt, bail out insiders, or lie about inflation. Anyway, good luck out there.

[text] Choose your fighter: A) Save in the unit they can print B) Save in the unit they can’t print This test is open-book and people still fail it.

[text] A 50% drawdown does not kill the Bitcoiner. It reveals him. It peels back the soft flesh of fiat delusion and exposes the beautiful deranged skeleton underneath, still whispering: Buy more.

[image] bitcoin:native There is a large sell bubble on BTC. In other words, part of the market still does not believe in the uptrend and continues to sell Will this selling pressure be able to push the price lower? The monthly close will be important. We will see whether strong buyers

[text] Mad about Strategy accumulating so much Bitcoin? Can I please have a Bitcoiner point me to the section of the whitepaper where it says Bitcoin was supposed to solve wealth inequality and usher in a Marxist utopia? If you can't find it, I'll just assume that you are SALTY

[image] bitcoin:native My BTC view and projection are the same. It could form an inverse H+S here

[image] bitcoin:native The candles-black path don't have to match exactly. It does not even have to go this deep. However, I believe there is not much time left before the worst is behind. If the Iran issue can be resolved, the Fed could become the catalyst for a bottom reversal.

[image] bitcoin:native In BTC, I expect an inverse H+S to form at the bottom. The right shoulder may be very small. If you remember, during the top formation, I was expecting a right shoulder, but it formed a tiny right shoulder. Maybe the same thing can happen again. We can only

[image] bitcoin:native / $DXY In my opinion the setup is ready on this side as well

[image] Cut spending? Politically suicidal. Raise taxes? Politically toxic. Debase currency? They ALWAYS choose this one. The money sloshing around in the system is 79× more than 1959. 33× larger than 1971 (when Nixon killed the gold standard). +$7.2 TRILLION added since Feb 2020

[image] Was June 30th the Bitcoin bottom? Bitcoin UTXOs in profit. The June 30 reading occupied the bottom 0.08% of all daily observations since 2016. Bitcoin needed an 82.5% drawdown to generate comparable UTXO distress in 2019, 74.8% during March 2020, and only 53.1% today.

[text] I bought Bitcoin because I believe in decentralization. Now I check the price 47 times a day like a Victorian widow waiting for a letter from the war. This is what financial sovereignty looks like.

[text] The government can create unlimited dollars. You have a limited number of hours alive. One of these things should never be traded casually for the other.

[image] $BTC I don't use a 20% decline as the definition of a bear market. That perspective has no real basis. The monthly EMA21 determines whether the market is in a bear or bull market. The blue average you see on the chart is the EMA21. A bear market begins below it. As you can see,

[video] Saylor looking at me buying $5/day!

[text] Time is the asset. It was always time. Every percent of inflation is them reaching into the future and stealing hours off the back end of your life that you will never see coming. You think you have a savings account? You actually have a clock running backwards. The

[image] bitcoin:native Why do I look at charts on a logarithmic scale instead of a linear scale? If you look at charts on a linear scale, they can appear frightening and misleading. They may lead you into making mistakes. I am looking at the same bottoms as well. in my bearish scenario,

[text] Your grandfather supported five children with a union job and bought a lake house. You have two master’s degrees and receive push notifications when your checking account lacks sufficient funds for Wendy’s. Fortunately there are only 21 million Bitcoin.

[image] bitcoin:native $ETH I still have the same perspective. Nothing has changed. There may be changes on shorter timeframes, but I use the monthly timeframe as the basis for the overall path

[video] GM ☀️ Funny thing is a lot of people forget that we are all here and this is all possible because of $BTC. Kind reminder: we are in accumulation zone (bear market) and now is the time to take action if you planning on... Satoshi is watching...👀

[image] $BTC $65,470 is strong support, and $62,990 is weaker support. If the support zone breaks, $55,600 becomes the target

[image] Wife material?

[text] You realize, somewhere around month seven, that the bear market is the point. That the bull market is the seductress. The thing that brings in the tourists and the influencers and the venture capitalists who don't actually understand what this is. The bear market is when you

[image] In a couple of days I’ll hold an interview with @tsusanka Tomas Susanka, CTO of Trezor, about the Coldcard catastrophe & Trezor’s view. On top of my own questions, I’d like to present community questions. Please suggest your Qs below 🙏🏻 & share this

[text] Normies think Bitcoin is risky. Their idea of rebellion is switching to oat milk, their hero is a 36-year-old podcaster with a leased McLaren, and they call you “radical” for buying digital gold while they pay interest on tacos. Opt out of this absolute madness.

[image] $BTC Let me summarize the process simply. On a weekly close above $82,420, it takes a first step as effective as Neil Armstrong’s step. Above $88,531, it breaks the red resistance band, and the needle is almost turning toward a rally. The key level is $87,793. Above that, the

[image] WOW! You know what, looking at this chart, I realize we should definitely stay humble and stack sats.

[image] Still reading @natbrunell book. Umm hello?? Paper money is ghost money. Legit made out of thin air. And people still choose to store value in it? 💀

[video] Me SMASH BUYING because BTC is still in the 60s

[text] bitcoin:native By the way what happened to the institutions that were setting $17K and $27K targets for BTC? You can share the names of the ones you know below 👇

[image] Your daily reminder that you are so early to Bitcoin - 99% have never owned Bitcoin - 99.5% have never sent a BTC transaction - 99.9% don't have Bitcoin in self custody - there are 60,000,000 millionaires and less than 21,000,000 Bitcoin If you're part of the 0.01%, you are

[text] There are people waiting for Bitcoin to become “less risky” before buying it. This is beautiful. They would like the scarce asset to first: gain another trillion dollars in market cap enter every pension fund become sovereign collateral absorb global savings reach $500,000

[text] People in 2045 are going to read that we worked 2,000 hours a year and stored the proceeds in an asset with an unlimited administrative supply and assume there was lead in the municipal water.

[image] The USD will not be close to its grave when Bitcoin hits $200,000.

[text] When you achieve Toxic Maxi levels you stop relating to normal people irl, your conversations feel empty , you are literally processing faster than 90% humans around uou, small talk becomes torture, you see solutions while other are still trying to understand the problem, your

[video] Trezor Breach & the Attack on Self-Custody

[video] The conviction around BTC is getting stronger every cycle. 👀 The people who understand the bigger picture early usually end up seeing the most interesting communities form around it. MR BLACK is one of those spaces worth keeping an eye on

[text] If I put $10,000 in Bitcoin in 2015, I’d have over $3 million now. No. If you bought $10,000 of Bitcoin in 2015 and watched it go: $10k → $25k → $50k …and did nothing. Then watched $50k drop to $20k …and still did nothing. Then watched $20k climb to $65k → fall to

[image] Nixon took America off gold in 1971 and basically gave the economy bath salts. Since then, the dollar turned into a government hallucination, Wall Street became a vacuum cleaner for all human productivity, houses became financial weapons, wages got stuffed in a freezer, and the

[image] BTC to Zero.

[video] We are still Early! A timeline for Bitcoin adoption across store of value, medium of exchange and unit of account. @CorySwan

[image] Always tweaking. Now the model looks a lot cleaner: - super-early BTC data sits inside the quantiles - quantile spacing is more balanced - Jacobian weighting gives every price equal influence - no quantile crossings for +10 years - optimal Day 0 = 20 Aug 2009 - $1M BTC in ~9

[image] Cbdc & stablecoins, enabled by shitcoins, are the new digital fiat.

[image] Bitcoin is the Exit... from my new home office... bitcoin is the coaster for my coffee... and bitcoin honey badger don't care! 🧡₿

[text] NEWS: 🎥 Sun Distribution has acquired the rights to distribute Doug Liman’s AI-driven thriller, Bitcoin, in Latin America, Spain, and South Africa. The film, which commenced production at the end of February, stars Casey Affleck as Satoshi Nakamoto, aka Craig S. Wright.