The Prediction Arc

[video] Quants stopped trading on gut feeling a long time ago everyone talks about neural nets and transformers, but prediction markets still run on simulations. let me break it down so it clicks the first time here's their toolkit - and yes, the code is attached /// Probability

[image] Good morning kittens. As you remember, recently I advertised the project Prob_Trade (scam team). We had advertising obligations and this was not hidden, under the post there was a note “paid partnership”. I will not now describe everything in full detail, you can see the full

[video] A 20 year old built a quantum bot And it only trades one thing - Oil arbitrage In a few weeks it reportedly pulled $250k Now everyone’s saying Wall Street is already using it The edge isn’t magic It’s reaction speed + structured models F = k * (q1 * q2) / r² Not physics

[video] Tonight we will see the fight between two UFC legends Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway. And in anticipation of this fight I decided to prepare and study this sport completely. How do you like my technique, and who do you think will win tonight?

[video] MY BABY X @Polymarket COLLAB style? now Polymarket stays with me 🔥 @PolymarketSport

[video] A lot of people are struggling with copy trading right now 0-block execution is way more complicated than it looks at first The trader fully executes the trade on @Polymarket servers But the transaction only reaches Polygon after some delay So by the time you copy the trade

[image] caught the Chinese Derby today thanks to my phone and limit orders from @sharexyz , i managed to catch TYLOO map handicap -1.5 at 30c > which turned my $120 into $400 TYLOO 2-0 Lynn Vision to be continued...

[image] My 5-day journey has come to an end > from $200, i made +639% profit and grew the balance to 7.39x Legacy are CS Asia Championships winners they cooked Falcons 3-1 in the finals balance update: $1477 we continue at IEM Cologne Major 2026

[image] Polymarket Sports Era One logo. Infinite predictions.

[image] i continued today in the semifinals finally, a day without red i got lucky to make this prediction only because i still had connection, but i was actually at a lake in the forest with almost no internet balance update: $816.71

[image] I used to watch CFOs lock in a "base case" and defend the budget. Today that model is outdated before it even gets reviewed. It's not that analysts got worse, the world just stopped moving in straight lines. Tariffs nobody expected. Elections that rewrite regulation overnight.

[video] free cash from #IEM Cologne 2026? why exactly? feels like everyone is underestimating Furia in these playoffs > they finished the group 3-0, without losing once > the upper bracket has no Vitality or Spirit, the two biggest favorites to win Polymarket values Furia's chance to

[image] Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer Weekend, which means tonight is UFC night. And we have a very interesting fight with good odds. Adesanya vs Pyfer, a UFC legend against a strong knockout puncher, this fight caught my attention immediately when I saw that Adesanya is only a slight

[image] ❗NAVI ARE GOING TO THE AIRPORT they lose 1-2 to G2 and get eliminated from #IEM Cologne 2026 sorry, i believed in G2

[image] i like the start of IEM Atlanta PGL had me standing still for 2 straight days CS2 is on my screen 24/7 now > every event is already on Polymarket

[image] Prediction Markets as a Macro Tool Most portfolio managers still think of prediction markets as entertainment for crypto-native audiences, and I get that skepticism. But over the past year I've started treating them differently - not as a news aggregator, but as one data layer

[text] Cats and kittens, I read an interesting article about the risks of copy trading and its advantages. I spent a long time figuring this out, and it’s actually very difficult to find a good trader whose trades you would want to copy. Many traders enter trades where they take 1-2%

[image] Kittens, yesterday was another win added to the collection, by the way I checked my Polymarket statistics yesterday and it turns out I am in the top ten thousand traders this month, but more on that in a later post. Those who placed bets with me yesterday, congratulations, today

[image] Hello kittens, I’ve got some interesting news for you. Polymarket has just integrated Pyth Pro as a data source for a completely new category of markets: gold, oil, ETFs, TSLA, NVDA and others. Everything is settled based on a single price point, updated every second. Real money

[image] The recent @ArAIstotle risk alert 𝕏 posts are def worth watching. They are not only calling odds or pointing at markets that look mispriced. They are showing where contract wording, resolution criteria, and market narrative start drifting apart, backed up with facts and

[image] The SINNERS dropped fresh jerseys for IEM Cologne 2026 @Polymarket is now right there on the jersey See you on the biggest CS stage in Cologne 🇩🇪🔥

[image] B8 vs FUT today looks like a very interesting market spot, an elimination game, only one survives FUT have already beaten B8 at this Major, while B8 received two clean losses in stage 3 after beating BIG on @sharexyz , it is very convenient to catch this from your phone: open

[image] 📊 This is a useful delta case on @ArAIstotle Truth Terminal. Market: "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?" → Crowd: 11.5% YES → ArAIstotle: 51.0% YES The crowd had YES close to dead, while ArAIstotle had it close to a coin flip. ❗️ Then Strategy sold 32 BTC

[image] What if every Polymarket market came with a live news feed? We built a browser extension that surfaces relevant news articles directly inside the Polymarket UI. No tab switching. No searching.

[video] Kittens, yes, its the weekend and UFC, just a top-tier fight, UFC legend Paulo Costa, I consider him one of the strongest fighters in recent times. Hes a real killer, he destroyed his opponents time after time, but now he will have to face an undefeated Russian fighter. But I

[image] Just dressed my succubus in full Polymarket merch and she looks amazing 😈 Cap, hoodie, tee, the whole set, she’s officially the coolest and most stylish in the Polymarket team. Thanks Polymarket for the best gift ever!

[image] Kittens, you asked and I’m finally showing you what I’ve been testing. The platform is called FORS Markets, and honestly one post is not enough to explain everything inside it. - FORS is not just another analytics dashboard or simple aggregator. It’s built as the ultimate super

[image] The World Cup become Polymarket biggest sports market ever ! @Polymarket World Cup Winner market already has more than $2.1B volume And the tournament just started yesterday! For comparison Kalshi has around 10 times smaller volume Now Polymarket is adding even more fuel: